Example
Let's start with the experiment of throwing a six-sided dice and looking at what number turns out. We can represent its sample space by
Let's consider two events:
We can consider the following operations between two events: union, intersection, difference and complementary.
Let's see what they mean in our example.
The union of
It can be useful to express it with the sets notation since the union of
The intersection of
As before, if we express it as operations between sets, the intersection of
The difference of
We can see that
With sets, the difference between
Sometimes we can also find it written as
In our case,
Finally, there is the complementary or the opposite of
In our case
That is to say, the complementary of an event
As a result of our definition, we see clearly that the opposite event of an impossible event is a sure event since if
Properties of operations between events
Next, we highlight a series of properties of the sets that can turn out to be useful to us concerning probability.
- Commutative:
- Associative:
For this reason, when we only have unions or intersections, we are not used to using brackets since there is no risk of confusion.
- Idempotence:
- Simplificative:
- Distributive:
- Neutral element:
- Complementary:
- Regression:
- De Morgan's Laws:
Written like that, these properties seem difficult, but in fact, if you think about them a little bit, most of them will seem like a question of common sense to you.
Example
The commutative property of the union is telling us that it is the same "to extract a number one or a number four" as it is "to extract a number four or a number one".
The complementary, with the intersection, tells us that "to extract three and not to extract three" is the impossible event, that is to say, that this can never happen. Logical, right?
The idempotency with the intersection only says that "to extract two and to extract two" is just "to extract two".
Do you dare to translate others? If you try it, you will see that in fact this table is not complicated.
Example
In a meeting we have
We need to define, first of all, which ones are our possible results .
For example, we can suppose that they are, on one hand,
In this case, our sample space is formed by
With this notation, the event "to be a woman and not wear glasses"
The event "to wear glasses"
Let's have a look at that: in fact
For this reason, we could also have described our sample space like
Example
An urn contains three red balls and two blue balls. We extract two balls; we take one at a time, look at its color, then put it back before taking out the second ball.
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Define what possible results satisfy the event "to extract one red ball and one blue ball, no matter in what order". Verify that this event coincides with the intersection of "to extract a red ball" and "to extract a blue ball"
- Define which results satisfy the event "to extract a red ball the first time, or a blue ball the second time". Verify that this event coincides with the union of "to extract a red ball the first time" or "to extract a blue ball the second time".
That is a frequent kind of experiment, which is related to combinatorial analysis.
1
First, let's analyze what happens when the order does not matter to us. Every time that we extract a ball, it can be a red ball
Let’s now see that the event "to extract a red ball and a blue one" matches up with the intersection of the events "to extract a red ball" (in either one of the two extractions) and "to extract a blue ball" (also in any of the extractions). The results that satisfy the event "to extract a red ball" are
This is not the only way to solve this section . We can also think that the results are arranged, and then see which ones satisfy the statement. If we consider the results in order, then our sample space is
In this case, the event "extract a red ball"
2
Now let's think about what happens when the order IS important. In this case, we need to know in what order we have extracted the balls, therefore we have to write the space muestral as
Let’s now see what the event "to extract a red ball at the first time"